2022 tony awards predictions

In the acting categories for plays, its all best guesses and no certainties. IK: The gender-flipping revival of "Company" was one of the most anticipated productions of the season. MUSICALS. Stick a key in it, it's done: Sam Mendes has a lock on this. But we also think that the Tonys' new voter-portal set-upwhich (theoretically) only allows votes from people who have seen all five performancesworks to O'Connell's advantage; in previous seasons, the shortness of, He's up againsttwo of his costars, including one fellow Jesse, but the delightful Jesse Tyler Ferguson has, Marianne Elliott has already won three Tonys since 2011. Saturday Night) and Hugh Jackman (Music Man), the real contenders for the lead actor trophy are two tyros: Jaquel Spivey (A Strange Loop) and Myles Frost (MJ). Why AI Has Some Viewers Asking Which Film Actors Are Real. If that whopping number of eligible productions has you unsure as to what shows, actors, and creatives to predict for the Tony Awards nominations, check out our racetrack odds below for all of the top categories. IK:This one is tough. Girl From the North Country, Conor McPhersonMJ, Lynn NottageMr. Make your earliest Tony nominee predictions now in 17 competitive categories. Read Next: How the Blindspotting Team Addresses Race Through Dance, Tony Predictions: Best Play Revival Fewer Candidates But a Surprisingly Competitive Race, Tony Predictions: Best Play Tom Stoppard, Pulitzer and Olivier Winners Vie for Five Spots, Tony Predictions: Best Musical Revival Encores! The Tony Awards eligibility cut-off date for the 2022-23 season is April 27, 2023, for all Broadway productions which meet all other eligibility requirements. Watch our lively chats with Tatiana Maslany (She-Hulk) and 100 other 2023 Emmy contenders, including. All Rights Reserved. Although none of the seasons other new musicals seem to have the same momentum at the moment, a few titles, at least, look sure to make the cut, with nominators particularly likely to recognize the witty, exuberant pop confection Six, which reimagines the wives of Henry VIII as contemporary pop divas, and the delicate craftsmanship of Girl From the North Country, which tells a melancholy, Depression-era story with Bob Dylan tunes. SIX 9/2 ", Jeannette Bayardelle, "Girl From The North Country". Conor McPherson, "Girl From The North Country", Lucy Moss and Jamie Armitage, "Six: The Musical". Even before the season officially ended, the category for new musical the one award that consistently moves the needle at the box office had a clear leader. The1955 comedy-drama was planned for Broadway but canceled when the playwright wouldnt tone down its message. IK:I can confirm that Bill hated "How I Learned to Drive," but sitting two seats away from him, I did not have the same experience. That said, Joaquina Kalukango was brilliant and Mare Winningham transformative. PREDICT the 2022 Tony Awards now through June 12 Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. I am not responsible for any amount of money you lose or win by placing bets. 2023 www.northjersey.com. He not only starred in "Lackawanna Blues," but wrote and directed it. 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The race:Gabriella Slade's wild jewel-powersuits forSixwill probably win in this strong field,but Tazewell'sMJoutfitsand Loquasto's classicMusic Manduds are also strong contenders. The race:Of the 2022 acting awards, this one is the hardest to call: Virtually any of the six nominees could walk away with the Tony. The concerteffects of, Best Lighting often amounts to Most Lighting. Editor's note: Theater lovers Ilana Keller and Bill Canacci offer their thoughts and predictions on this year's Tony Awards. The Minutes 11/2 Justin Ellington, "for colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enuf", Nick Powell and Dominic Bilkey, "The Lehman Trilogy". Paradise Square 13/2, BEST BOOK The 2023 Tony Awards nominations . IK:This is a close one. Having said that, I loved "Caroline, Or Change" and "The Music Man. BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAYAlfie Allen,HangmenChuck Cooper,Trouble in MindJesse Tyler Ferguson,Take Me OutRon Cephas Jones,Clyde'sMichael Oberholtzer,Take Me OutJesse Williams,Take Me Out, The race:He's up againsttwo of his costars, including one fellow Jesse, but the delightful Jesse Tyler Ferguson hasTake Me Out's richest material as the baseball-crazy gay accountant Mason Marzac, a role for which Denis O'Hare won a Tonyback in 2003. Joyce and Chris tackle the highs and lows of each show and see how the winners aged. While the theater community has always been a giving one, bringing attention to crucial causes, expanding accessibility and fighting for change has been at the forefront for many productions, and it's inspiring to see. This week, Tom and Shiv get it on. BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICALSharon D Clarke,Caroline, or ChangeCarmen Cusack,Flying Over SunsetSutton Foster,The Music ManJoaquina Kalukango,Paradise SquareMare Winningham,Girl from the North CountryThe race:It's a fight to the finish betweenCaroline, or Change's Sharon D Clarke andParadise Square'sJoaquina Kalukango, both of whom brought down their respective houses with 11-o'clock numbers. The race:Michael R. Jackson is certain to win in this category. The race:Tony regulations meant that only three of this seasons four musical revival have a shot at the Tony. Probably. The Obama-Springsteen friendship continues on. 2023 Vox Media, LLC. One Lehman actor, Simon Russell Beale, has a lot of support, but it seems possible the entire Lehman triad might cancel each other out, in which case Parkers co-star David Morse could rise to the top for Drive. Ruben Santiago-Hudson (Lackawanna Blues) has his admirers too. Simon Baker, "Girl From The North Country", BC: Well, if this were a volume category we would have to give it to "Six." IK: What Bill said. With all that in mind, and based on a highly unscientific combination of polling, gossip and instinct, here are seven predictions for the night's biggest awards. A Strange Loop 9/2 "Lehman Trilogy" managed to seem simplistic while cleverly helping advance the story. Parker won this same award just last year, which may work against her, butshe's a Broadway favorite in one of her signature roles, so she has a very good chanceas does LaChanze, who demonstrated suprising dramatic chops inTrouble in Mind. Saturday NightParadise SquareSix: The MusicalA Strange Loop, Why:I feel a little bad forSix, which could have won had the 201920 season gone according to plan, but up against the much-lauded, already Pulitzer-winningA Strange Loop, the Tudor queens and their producers will have to console themselves with Scrooge McDuckstyle swimming pools full of box-office earnings. Below, see our 2022 Tony Awards predictions in 17 of the 25 categories. Here are our predictions in each category. Good for them (and us!). Thats A Strange Loop, Michael R. Jacksons critically adored, Pulitzer-anointed portrait of a Black queer man writing a musical about a Black queer man writing a musical. The story follows an experienced Black stage actress through rehearsals of a major Broadway production in Alice Childress' look at racism, identityand ego. This story first ran inStage Whisperer, Vultures theater newsletter. Who do you predict and why? [UPDATING LIVE BLOG], Im a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here! Winners List: All 22 Champs in Chronological Order [PHOTOS], Emmy spotlight: Yellowjackets costume designer Amy Parris deserves first nomination for that gnarly winter gear, Box office: Super Mario Bros. approaches $500 million and enters all-time Top 20. Susan Haskins joined us in a lively discussion to dissect this crop of nominees. ), American Buffalofor colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enufHow I Learned to DriveTake Me OutTrouble in Mind. IK: It's not always easy to make a flawed character heart-rending, but Sharon D Clarke is a marvel, tearing at your emotions from all sides. (It also helps that she will be returning to Broadway next season in a revival ofDeath of a Salesman, which mitigates the relatively-unknown-British-actor factor.) 2022 Tony Awards Predictions #34 Posted: 3/10/22 at 2:57pm If the only 2 nominees were Sutton Foster and Sharon D. Clarke, Sharon would win, without question. Jennifer Simard (Company) 15/2 How will nominators honor this seasons tight ensembles? Sure, there will be five performers on the list up for lead actress in a musical, but right now, the contest looks like its between Sharon D. Clarke, for her volcanic turn in the title role of Caroline, or Change, and Joaquina Kalukango, who earned career-making raves even from the critics who gave her show, Paradise Square, a big thumbs-down. Mary-Louise Parker, "How I Learned to Drive". But Uzo Aduba was incredible playing the beyond mean owner of a truck stop. BEST BOOK OF A MUSICALChristina Anderson, Craig Lucas and Larry Kirwan,Paradise SquareConor McPherson,Girl from the North CountryBilly Crystal, Lowell Ganz and Babaloo Mandel,Mr. Saturday NightMichael R. Jackson,A Strange LoopLynn Nottage,MJ. IK:Taking notice of the lighting choices often is a bad thing, but sometimes not. The race:Montana Levi Blanco's vast and witty array of time-spanning costumes is the favorite in this race, though Jane Greenwood'sPlaza Suitecostumes work harder than one of its stars. But we also think that the Tonys' new voter-portal set-upwhich (theoretically) only allows votes from people who have seen all five performancesworks to O'Connell's advantage; in previous seasons, the shortness ofDana H.'s run would havescuttled her chances. BC: You know it's a good play when all three actors for "The Lehman Trilogy" are nominated. Why:I imagine voters will go with the Best Play favorite, which did manage to evoke many eras of financial history within a single office set and those shifts in lighting. As Broadway gears up for its big night June 12, the industrys annual prognostications factor in the knowledge that this seasons COVID spike in schedule disruptions and actor absences made it even harder than usual to catch every nominated production and performance, especially for voters who live out of town. Carmen Cusack (Flying Over Sunset) and Mare Winningham (Girl From the North Country) are also often mentioned as possibilities but unless something changes, it looks like Clarke and Kalukango are the frontrunners here. RECOMMENDED:How to watch the 2022 Tony Awards, BEST MUSICALGirl from the North CountryMJMr. The probable main contenders here are the two young men from the dueling Michael Jackson musicals. Is that enough to win, Ilana? Heres who we think will win big at the Tony Awards on June 12, 2022. In a tough category, Take Me Out takes the lead. IK: "Six" may have a vice grip on entries into the Broadway canon, which is its own reward, but I think"A Strange Loop" takes this home. BESTORCHESTRATIONSDavid Cullan,CompanyTom Curran,SixSimon Hale,Girl from the North CountryCharlie Rosen,A Strange LoopJason Michael Webb and David Holcenberg,MJ. IK:Brackett and Elliott are tops here in my book, and I could easily see this going either way. There weretears. Originally scheduled to be released this week, the announcement has been postponed to Monday, May. The Lehman Trilogy, the epic look at the company that helped spark the 2008 recession, Tracy Letts dark satire The Minutes and Dominique Morisseaus Skeleton Crew look like sure things, but the other two slots seems harder to predict. The showwill air live across the country for the first time on CBS, and streamlive and on demand on Paramount+. BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICALFly Davis, Caroline, or ChangeToni-Leslie James,Paradise SquareWilliam Ivey Long,DianaSanto Loquasto,The Music ManGabriella Slade,SixPaul Tazewell,MJ. The Tony Awards will be broadcast live from Radio City June 12 on Paramount+ and CBS. "Girl From The North Country," Conor McPherson, "Mr. Saturday Night," Billy Crystal, Lowell Ganz andBabaloo Mandel, "Paradise Square," Christina Anderson, Craig Lucas andLarry Kirwan. Brown's reimagination of Ntozake Shange's 1976 choreopoem. But "Lehman Trilogy" probably wins. On the other hand, the chances for surprise are slim in the race for featured actress in a musical: The win looks sure to go to Patti LuPone, the iconic Broadway star making her mark on the iconic Company tune, Ladies Who Lunch. Her co-star, Matt Doyle, is most frequently mentioned as the choice for featured actor in a musical, although Jared Grimes (Funny Girl) and John-Andrew Morrison (Strange Loop) also got voters attention. IK: I think "Dana H." has a shot here for its innovative encapsulation of sound. "Clyde's" and "Skeleton Crew" were both wonderful and had great casts. The Roys continue their downward spiral into total desperation as Matsson and their dead father loom over every decision they make. Crystal, too, looks like a shoo-in, and so does Patti LuPone (Company). Odds are still on Devlin, but this will be close. Dont miss the fun. She's likely to grab a fourth this year, though her take on. Saturday Night) 11/2 BC: Ruth Negga stands alone, with LaChanze coming in second. "for colored girls" may be the exception here. Alumni and Lush Orchestras Dominate the Field, Jock Zonfrillo, MasterChef Australia Judge, Dies at 46, Only Murders in the Building Season 3 Premiere Date Revealed by Steve Martin and Martin Short at Comedy Show (EXCLUSIVE), Matthew Lawrence: 'My Agency Fired Me' After I Refused to Take My Clothes Off for an Award-Winning Director, Super Mario Bros. 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A Strange Loop will take Best Musical. BC: This comes down to "Company" and "A Strange Loop." The race:This category is always a wild card, since so few voters know what they're listening for. Broadway just wrapped up its first season after the pandemic lockdown, and boy, was it a doozy: After all the delays, COVID surges and cast replacements, a whopping 34 new productions opened, with 15 of them bowing in April alone. Of the three, Simon Russell Beale gets my vote. Sam and Joel reach a new level of intimacy. Flying Over Sunset 11/2 The 75th Annual Tony Awards is set to be held on June 12, 2022, to recognize achievement in Broadway productions during the 2021-22 season. But reviewerswerent universally enthusiasticabout the show, so I wouldnt be fully surprised by an upset fromThe Minutes, which has the advantage of a twist ending that (forbetter or worse) has kept audiences talking, or the deftly constructed and actedSkeleton Crew. Claybourne Elder (Company) 15/2 But there are ways around the backstops in place to prevent illegal voting on the online Tony portal, and you have to assume that some percentage will break the rules to weigh in on their favorites. Starring LaChanze, the play also features Tony winner Chuck Cooper. Jeannette Bayardelle (Girl From the North Country) 21/2, BEST FEATURED ACTOR (MUSICAL) IK:"MJ" definitely has a shot here, but I also think "A Strange Loop" will win. If one of them will be indeed be left off the list, its Funny Girl that seems to have the most trouble drumming up support, and looks most likely to miss out here. But whether such a trend materializes not to mention whether a road bloc with monolithic taste even exists remains up in the air. At times. 2023 Variety Media, LLC. 2023 Tony Awards slugfest: Final predictions for play nominations [WATCH], 2023 Tony Awards slugfest: Final predictions for musical nominations [WATCH], "I watched the first three episodes and my opinion is the same as", David. Ready? I dont know if Tony voters will necessarily vote forSixbased on that, but I do think that Makes big choices, feels like a pop concert! By entering your email address you agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy and consent to receive emails from Time Out about news, events, offers and partner promotions. Besides all that, Sutton Foster recently took home the Drama League performance award, proving theres plenty of affection out there for her, too. (Even if MJ misses best musical, the dance-heavy show is near certain to take the choreography award for Christopher Wheeldon.) Also Read: 'Caroline, or Change' Broadway Review: An Unsung Musical Heroine Is Back Where She Belongs BIO Robert Hofler Robert. That will likely translate into a win for Doyle, who delivers its rapid-fire neurosis. The Music Man 69/20 Among featured performer categories (which also include several castmates competing against each other), Uzo Aduba (Clydes) is the name that most often comes up for actress and Ferguson (Take Me Out) is the one that edges ahead for actor. Hugh Jackman (The Music Man) 5/1 Thanks for subscribing! "Paradise Square" has some big numbers and a few strong performances but it also has some major flaws. The 50 Best Movies of 2022, According to 165 Critics from Around the World Why:Maybe Mary-Louise Parker is simply our new Laurie Metcalf and willtake home a Tony twice in a row (particularly because the ceremony held in the middle of last September, when she won forA Sound Inside,seems to have evaporated from our collective memory), but Deirdre OConnells complex lip-sync inDana H.had all the mystic power of a sance. Michelle Obama and Bruce Springsteen Tore Up the Stage with Glory Days. "American Buffalo" by David Mamet, starring Laurence Fishburne, Sam Rockwell and Darren Criss, would be my third choice. "The Lehman Trilogy," Stefano Massini, Ben Power. This was an incredibly solid year for plays, and I wouldn't be disappointed with any of these taking home the award. Bill Canacci can be reached at bcanacci@gannettnj.com. (Sorry,Funny Girl!) BEST ACTOR IN A PLAYSimon Russell Beale,The Lehman TrilogyAdam Godley,The Lehman TrilogyAdrian Lester,The Lehman TrilogyDavid Morse,How I Learned to DriveSam Rockwell,American BuffaloRuben Santiago-Hudson,Lackawanna BluesDavid Threlfall,Hangmen. We expect the prize to go instead to the showier auralaction ofThe Lehman Trilogy. The race:Conventional wisdom favors Mary-Louise Parker in this very tight category, but we think Dana H.'s Deirdre O'Connellhas a solidchanceto pull off a surprise win. 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Mr. Saturday Night 13/2 ", Carrie-Anne Ingrouille, "Six: The Musical". It's either Winningham or Kalukango, and I'm giving it to Kalukango. Sorry,Ben Brantley. We reveal what we think were . for colored girls 13/2 She highlights arts advocacyand education, theater fundraisers and morethrough her column,"Sightlines." Camille A. (See also: The Band's Visit,Fun Home,Once.) The 75th annual Tony Awards will be hosted byAriana DeBose and take place from 8 to 11 p.m. Eastern on Sunday, June 12, at Radio City Music Hall in New York City. Beowulf Boritt and 59 Productions, "Flying Over Sunset". Brown,for colored girlsSam Mendes,The Lehman TrilogyNeil Pepe,American BuffaloLes Waters,Dana H. The race:Stick a key in it, it's done: Sam Mendes has a lock on this. Brownis the first Black woman to direct and choreograph a show on Broadway in 65 years, which deserves its own accolades aplenty, but the Tony honors will likely go to Sam Mendes. But the man can convince a crowd tospend $20,000 on a sweaty whistle, so. BEST MUSICAL Sam Rockwell was excellent and deserves mention, as doesRuben Santiago-Hudson, who takes on more than 20 characters for his powerful work aboutgrowing up on the banks of Lake Erie. I'll also include some notes about each category as well. 2022 Tony Awards Predictions #4 Posted: 1/20/22 at 8:39pm Winner predictions. In addition to the obvious frontrunner, which four shows will round out the new musical category? BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICALNeil Austin,CompanyTim Deiling,SixDonald Holder,Paradise SquareNatasha Katz,MJBradley King,Flying over SunsetJen Schriever,A Strange Loop. 3. That cracks open the door for a potential upset from a more clear-cut crowdpleaser in this case, probably MJ, the Michael Jackson musical thats kept a low profile in the press but still built up a lot of goodwill in the industry. But British actor Clarke made a strong impression and so did Mare Winningham (Girl From the North Country), who also has support. Take Me Out 6/1 Following an 18-month shutdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Broadway came storming back. A Strange Loop 82/25. BC: This is a tough one, but let's start with a quick review: "Clyde's" is aboutsandwich creators in a truck stop run by a vicious owner;"Hangmen" takes place inabar owned by a former British executioner; "The Lehman Trilogy" is a nearly two-century look at a family and an institution thatplayed a major part in bringing the global economy to its knees; "The Minutes" shows us whathappens during a small town council meeting; and 'Skeleton Crew" is set at an automotive factory on the brink of foreclosure. Jiyoun Chang, "for colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enuf", Jane Cox, Macbeth Yi Zhao, "The Skin of Our Teeth". Joaquina Kalukango (Paradise Square) 15/2 Alfie Allen (Hangmen) 13/2 The show will air live across. Jessica Frances Dukes (Trouble in Mind) 10/1, BEST FEATURED ACTOR (PLAY) Password must be at least 8 characters and contain: As part of your account, youll receive occasional updates and offers from New York, which you can opt out of anytime. Lizzy Caplan Would Return for One More Season of. Billy Crystal (Mr. No way to go wrong. The race:Best Lighting often amounts to Most Lighting. Camille A. David Buchanan joins me in a rousing slugfest to . The ceremony itself will be held at Radio City Music Hall in New York on June 12. I'm going with Carlyle. The Tony Awards eligibility cut-off date for the 2022-23 season is April 27, 2023, for all Broadway productions which meet all other eligibility requirements. 5 min read Last year, Jeremy O. Harris' "Slave Play" ended up winning not one of its 12 nominations, a record for any play in the history of Tony Awards. This one goes to "Take Me Out.". Broadway came roaring back from its long winter of coronavirus closures with 34 musicals, plays, and revivals opening in the 2021-2022 season. Broadway favorites Hugh Jackman and Sutton Foster, on the other hand, seem assured to score noms for The Music Man, even if some in the industry think neither actor is a terribly good fit for their respective roles. And amid it all, there were understudies, standbys, swings and ensembles long the backbone of productions, often thanklessly keeping the curtains up whenever possible. Ilana, why are you voting for "Diana"? 2022 Tony Awards predictions: Who will win on June 12? Is 'SNL' new tonight (April 29, 2023)? This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google How all that shifts voting trends, however, is tough to calculate. The Will Win category simply lists my predictions in a hard-to-predict year . (I dont thinkGirl From the North Countryis going to make it. Why:Do I think Hugh Jackman is kind of miscast inThe Music Man? Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical, Jeannette Bayardelle,Girl From the North CountryShoshana Bean,Mr. Saturday NightJayne Houdyshell,The Music ManL Morgan Lee,A Strange LoopPatti LuPone,CompanyJennifer Simard,Company, Stephen Brackett,A Strange LoopMarianne Elliott,CompanyConor McPherson,Girl From the North CountryLucy Moss and Jamie Armitage,Six: The MusicalChristopher Wheeldon,MJ. [UPDATING LIVE BLOG], I'm a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here! Winners List: All 22 Champs in Chronological Order [PHOTOS], Emmy spotlight: 'Yellowjackets' costume designer Amy Parris deserves first nomination for that gnarly winter gear, American Idol Top 12: Who gave the best performance on Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Night? While he has a shot at Best Director, Wheeldona major, Bunny Christie's shifting urban landscape in, Montana Levi Blanco's vast and witty array of time-spanning costumes is the favorite in this race, though Jane Greenwood's, A very tight race. Yesterday, our critics predicted which actors would win Tony Awards . BEST CHOREOGRAPHYCamille A. The 2023 Tony Awards. Company 15/8 Runner-up would be Michael Oberholtzer for "Take Me Out," who was terrifyingly good as the pitcher who doesn't understand how racist and homophobic he is. Clydes, Lynn NottageHangmen, Martin McDonaghThe Lehman Trilogy, Stefano Massini and Ben PowerThe Minutes, Tracy LettsSkeleton Crew, Dominique Morisseau. Sutton Foster (The Music Man) 11/2

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